November 18, 2013

Global Climate Risk Index 2013 Released at the UN climate Summit - And South Asia is high up on risks.

Global Climate Risk Index released:: Super Typhoon Haiyan draws attention to wide-spread extreme climate risks.
 
 
The devastation caused by the recent super typhoon Haiyan (Yolanda to the Philippines people) in the Philippines has drawn the world's attention with its massive loss of human lives and physical damage, and the fact that this happened just as the UN climate negotiations were beginning - have strongly brought home the message that unless the global comity of nations tackle climate changing emissions at the earliest and at the fastest pace, the world will see many such climate disasters.
The climatic disaster in the Indian (and part of Nepal) Himalayas, in the month of June, where also the official death figures crossed 5000 (the ground reports speaks about more than double that figure), in the mountain States of Uttarakhand and Himachal Pradesh, seem to be already fading out of public memory. Is this going to be the pattern -- the shock of a massive disaster raises our concerns, puts people in to action mode -- only for a brief while, after which the lull, the complacency returns !! Back to the Business As Usual pathways!
On the 2nd day of the UN climate Conference (COP19) here in Warsaw, this year's "Global Climate Risk Index" was officially released, and not so surprisingly - Haiti topped the list, because of the nearly 200,000 people who lost their homes during Hurricane Sandy, and the total devastation of the small nations economy and public infrastructure by that impact.
The list is prepared by GermanWatch, from different damage data, but largely supplied by insurance industry, and is thus - limited. The categorization is done based on losses of lives and property from climate events, from 1993 to 2012. Haiti was the worst affected, followed by Philippines and Pakistan.
It needs to be noted that all the top (!) ten countries - those that have suffered maximum damages from climate disasters from 1993 to 2012, are developing, often the poorest (in terms of per capita income) countries. And more alarmingly for those of us from the area known as "South Asia", almost all SA countries (except Sri Lanka and Maldives) are there in the ill-famous Top-Ten! And a reminder, this do not include the massive disasters in India in 2013 - either in the Himalayas or in Odisha & Andhra Pradesh coasts from the near-super cyclone Phailin.

Beyond Copenhagen Side Event (13th November, 2013, Room Cracow) and Stall

Panel at the Beyond Copenhagen side event "Climate Change in Post-2015 Development Agenda"

Panel at the Beyond Copenhagen side event "Climate Change in Post-2015 Development Agenda"

Beyond Copenhagen side event "Climate Change in Post-2015 Development Agenda"

Panel at the Beyond Copenhagen side event "Climate Change in Post-2015 Development Agenda", inaugurating the publication.

Beyond Copenhagen Delegation in front of their booth. 

November 14, 2013

Un-official introduction to the host country of COP-19 :: POLAND

Bankwatch Mail - November 11, 2013

Dear Participant to the 19th UN Climate Summit, welcome to Poland!
Let us introduce you to the country hosting the climate conference this year, and provide you with a short overview of the land and its people. This is indeed information you may not find in official Polish government brochures. However, we believe that the hospitality Poland is famous for requires that you have a clear picture of what the Polish Presidency of COP19 stands for.
 
Landscape
Poland is the second largest coal producer in Europe, after Germany. In 2012 Poland produced 158 million tons of coal, which typically accounts for around 20 percent of total coal production in Europe. Also in 2012, 83 percent of electricity produced in the country was derived from coal burning (pdf). According to recent energy mix scenarios prepared by the Chancellery of the Polish prime minister, Poland plans to continue to base its energy system on coal: even after 2050, it is currently envisaged that 60-80 percent of Polish electricity will be produced from coal.

 

Perspectives

Hard coal and lignite in currently tapped deposits are being gradually exhausted, so there are plans to prepare and realise the use of several new deposits by 2030 (pdf): the hard coal deposits of 'Bzie-Dꢩna', '歩㯷ice' and 'Brzezinka', and the lignite deposits of 'Legnica' and 'Gubin,' as well as the satellite deposits of operating mines. Poland's former chief geologist and former deputy minister of the environment has said that the Polish Energy Policy to 2030 will lock Poland into an economic model that dates from the beginning of the twentieth century. Of the EU-28, Poland is leading the way when it comes to the number of new hard coal and lignite power plants being planned. This is due to Poland’s largely outdated energy system, where two thirds of the installed generation capacity is more than 30 years old. In order to tackle this, at present 12 GW of new coal and lignite capacity is planned. According to Dr. Michaã —ilczyᳫi, Poland's former chief geologist and former deputy minister of the environment, the new coal and nuclear power plants planned within the Polish Energy Policy to 2030 will, for at least the next 80 years, lock Poland into an economic model that dates from the beginning of the twentieth century.

 

International relations

Once you scratch below the rhetorical surface it emerges that Poland imports a significant share of the hard coal it uses. Large deposits of coal, it is claimed by Polish officialdom, are playing a major role in ensuring Poland’s energy security (pdf). However, on the contrary, once you scratch below the rhetorical surface it emerges that Poland imports a significant share of the hard coal it uses: in 2011, the country imported 15 million tons of hard coal, while 76.4 million tons was extracted in Polish mines. According to Dr. Wilczyᳫi, by 2030 the extraction volume of hard coal in Poland will be less than is imported. Growing imports result from the discrepancy between the price of Polish coal and coal prices on the international markets.

 

Prices

Polish prime minister Donald Tusk continues to insist that Poland will continue to base its energy system on coal, because lignite in particular is the cheapest source of electricity. However, of course, Tusk and his advisers – not to mention the vocal coal lobby in Poland – fail to take into account the hidden social and environmental costs racked up by producing power from lignite – huge costs being paid daily by Polish society. According to Professor Mariusz Kude, these so called external costs associated with lignite power plants, and specifically from the two planned open-pit mines Legnica and Gubin, would amount to PLN 10 billion annually. The calculation considers harm to human health, materials, farming, biodiversity and land use changes. Professor Kude has pointed out that health impacts constitute more than half of these costs (pdf).

Health care
Health specialists say that Polish coal fired power stations cause 1,000 hospital admissions and 800,000 lost working days per year, costing patients, the national health system and the economy at large nearly EUR 8 billion per year in lost productivity. This data is confirmed by a report from the Health and Environment Alliance published in June this year. The scientific evidence that air pollution causes disease is no longer in doubt, according to Dr Michal Krzyzanowski, an epidemiologist working until recently at the World Health Organisation. Krzyzanowski says: “Circulatory and respiratory diseases associated with exposure to air pollution lead to a reduction in life expectancy of 10 months in the Polish population. Coal combustion, both in the electric power plants and in individual households, is the single biggest source of this pollution in Poland.” (pdf)

 

Economics

And it is not as if Poland has no choice when it comes to energy sources. Dr. Maciej Bukowski, one of the authors of a recently published report 'Roadmap 2050: Low Emission Poland 2050' and president of the Institute for Structural Research, has said that the decisions that we need to take now will decide whether Poland maintains the rate at which it catches up with the leading economies in the world. Bukowski warns, however, that there exists the risk of a 'middle income trap' for Poland, similar to that observed in Spain, Portugal and Greece, after their periods of dynamic growth. He says: “We are doing too little to prevent this. We focus too much on the cost of reforms, and not enough on the potential benefits. A low-emission climate policy is no exception.”
 
Meanwhile, president of the Institute for Sustainable Development, Dr. Andrzej Kassenberg, believes that Poland should not hide behind others and not negotiate, but instead see a potential innovative, green economy as an opportunity, and not only for climate issues.

November 11, 2013

Beyond Copenhagen at COP19, Warsaw, Poland (11-22 November 2013)

1. Side Event at COP19

Dear Friends

We are pleased to invite all attending COP19 in Warsaw to an official side event organized and hosted by Beyond Copenhagen in collaboration with CECOEDECON, PAIRVI, SADED and BJVJ.


"Climate Change & Post 2015 Development Agenda; Implications on Agriculture and Livelihoods for Poor"

A new agreement on Climate change, Post MDGs development agenda and adoption of the Sustainable Development Goals converge in 2015. It has huge implications for development, agriculture and food, and livelihoods. The panel discussion will explore how climate change, agriculture and food, and energy are positioned in these debates.

Venue: Room Cracow, National Stadium, Warsaw
Date: Wednesday 13 November 2013
Time: 16:45 - 18:15

Light refreshments will be served after the side event. We look forward to seeing you at the event!!


Contact person:

Ajay Jha - k.ajay.j@gmail.com
Soumya Dutta - soumyadutta_delhi@rediffmail.com

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

2. PreCOP Consultation on
"Priorities and Expectations from COP 19"
5th November 2013, New Delhi - India

In the series of consultations that Beyond Copenhagen has been organizing to draw attention of policy makers and public actors on priority areas for policy and action on climate change, recently, a PreCOP Consultation on “Priorities and Expectations from COP 19” was organized in New Delhi on 5th November 2013. The event hosted Deputy Minister of Environment from Poland, Mrs. Beata Jaczewska, along with representatives from key actors including China, Mexico, Australia and Norway. The press release of the event is as follows:

“Warsaw will not rewrite the Convention” inclusiveness, transparency and fair process to be main pillars at Warsaw COP, says Polish Dy Env Minister at Delhi

Deputy Minister of Environment from Poland Mrs. Beata Jaczewska said that Conference of Parties at Warsaw will focus on inclusiveness, transparency and fairness of the process. Speaking at a civil society PreCOP Consultation in Delhi, she emphasized that Warsaw will make all efforts to have a clear road map till Paris. She added that Poland along with Peru and France is working on a “Troika approach,” which would ensure that a draft of agreement is ready before March 2015 so that a decision can be reached at Paris. Allaying civil society apprehensions she emphasized that Warsaw will not rewrite the Convention. She also underlined that “our focus is on adaptation, and climate finance, however we understand that all parts of negotiations mitigation, adaptation, and means of implementation are equally important and we will try to address all of these.”

The Conference of Parties (COP) taking place at Warsaw during 11th to 23rd November, the PreCOP Consultation was organized by Beyond Copenhagen in collaboration with MISEREOR and Oxfam India.  Representatives from key actors including the China, Australia, Norway, Mexico, also shared their expectations from the COP 19.

Earlier during the day, the Consultation witnessed a discussion among the civil society organizations on the expectations from the COP 19. Civil society demanded clear, categorical, and decisive action towards a just, appropriate and equity based framework for climate stabilization. Vanita Suneja from Oxfam India said that the current gap in climate finance is alarming and developing countries including India are rightly concerned about the lack of support they can expect over the coming years, in particular the provision of adequate public finance. Vijay Pratap from South Asian Dialogues on Ecological Democracy (SADED) said that climate science demands clear action and sufferings of the people brook no delay. Chandrabhushan from CSE said that mitigation ambitions will have to be enhanced on a significant scale to bring emissions from current 50 gigatonnes to 44 gigatonnes, which is essential to keep warming below 2 degrees Celsius by the end of the century. He also added that there are no proposals on how equity can be operationalized till now and therefore, it’s important that Warsaw COP comes up with a clear road map with specific targets and timelines.

Sanjay Vashishth from CANSA said that Warsaw must close the gigatone gap and clear commitments on climate finance. Manish Srivastava from TERI said that new market mechanisms must interact with non market based mechanisms to create an enabling conditions so that markets could achieved their envisioned role in mitigation. He also added that the biggest challenge before Warsaw is to restore faith in international negotiations which has been eroding fast due to lack of progress. Soumya Dutta from Beyond Copenhagen said that despite finance being a hot issue for several previous meetings, we do not have desired numbers on the table till now, COP must address this without losing any time. Sharad Joshi from CECOEDECON said that to succeed at Warsaw we must succeed in building blocks at Warsaw and Lima. Ajay Jha from PAIRVI said that the recent IPCC report, WMO report and report of the UNEP brings unequivocal evidences of impact of climate change and wartime efforts are required to meet the demands of the science and address all the critical areas of mitigation, adaptation, and means of implementation. Over 100 representatives from CSOs, media and embassies and high commissions in Delhi attended the Consultation.

Coordinator, Beyond Copenhagen

July 16, 2012

Rubble from Rio


Making sense of a failed Summit

Ajay K Jha, Beyond Copenhagen/PAIRVI

The Rio +20 Summit came to a close on 22nd June with hundreds of the heads of the state appreciating the efforts of the hosts in creating consensus on an outcome document titled “the future we want,” after months of intense and often acrimonious negotiations. The President of Brazil Ms. Dilma Rousseff, in her closing speech cautiously described the event as “a starting point.” The other dignitaries described the outcome as “balanced” where all the countries had something close to their hearts. The EU Climate Commissioner Ms. Connie Hedegaard also made a tongue in cheek remark (in a brief meeting with the author), “of having placed hooks at the right places, which will not be easy to dismantle.” However, except for diplomats who are trained in the art of verbal dexterity, many others were not so discreet in their judgment about the near total failure of the Summit. Kumi Naidoo from Greenpeace, said that the outcome document was the longest suicide note. As a matter of fact, the Summit and the outcome document, acknowledged the urgency and need for action on all three pillars economic, environmental and social, but it did not go any further.  In the end “ the future we want” remained an opulent verbosity with no commitments. While the political leaders are happy to have salvaged the Summit; the people share an agonizing frustration over an opportunity wasted and sense of disbelief in multilateralism to deliver. Let’s ponder over few important issues and outcomes from the summit.

Poverty eradication: The outcome document identifies poverty eradication as a major challenge that the world faces today and renews political commitment to address it. It is in fact highly shameful that more than one sixth of the humanity still lives in abject poverty, more than 1 billion people without access to food, and 1.4 billion people without access to electricity, which has a key role in poverty reduction. The Para 2 of Our Common Vision declares “eradicating poverty is the greatest global challenge facing the world today and an indispensible requirement for sustainable development. In this regard we are committed to freeing humanity from poverty and hunger as a matter of urgency.” Though the outcome document does not go beyond acknowledging poverty as a major challenge, its recognition itself is very important in keeping poverty eradication on the political agenda, not only in the developing countries, but also serving as stark reminder to the developed and rich countries of their responsibility in lending a helping hand to lift half of world population out of poverty.

Reaffirmation of Rio Principles and CBDR; Despite stiff resistance from the rich countries to keep the CBDR out of the document, developing countries solidarity could pull this off. The outcome document makes two references to the CBDR, the text in Reaffirming the Rio Principles and past action plans, and in the text on climate change. This is of extreme significance, as in the Durban, developing countries have carelessly bartered this away, and it was believed that it would be extremely difficult if not impossible to bring this in due to extreme abhorrence of the US with the phrase. Though developing countries failed to bring CBDR in the language in the finance and technology transfer, in the chapter on means of implementation, nonetheless existence of CBDR and reaffirmation to Rio principles and climate change (in key thematic areas) is enough reminder to the rich countries of their historical role and impending responsibility to provide leadership in climate stabilization efforts.

Phasing out fossil fuel subsidies; The commitment to phase out fossil fuel subsidies can be the most remarkable outcome of the Summit, if the world leaders remain true to their words. It can definitely be a major take away from the Rio+20. More than 1 trillion of the USD is given to dirty energy companies, which is the major impediment is development of responsible and renewable energy choices. However, there is nothing to be very enthusiastic about the phasing out of inefficient fossil fuel subsidies. The G 20 summit in Pittsburgh (2009) committed to phase out fossil fuel subsidies, and every G8, and G20 summits hence have reiterated this commitment, however, very little action has reached the ground. As a matter of fact, high secrecy still envelopes fossil fuel subsidies and the ways in which it is given, with few countries like the UK and Japan outrightly reject existence of these subsidies in their countries.  Greater transparency and political will have to precede if governments are serious about actual reduction in subsidies.

Programme on sustainable consumption and production (SCP): The outcome text commits to undertake a10-yearframework of programmes on SCP. It can be extremely helpful in building capacity of business, communities and households on understanding and moving towards sustainable and responsible production and consumption patterns respecting the carrying capacity of the earth. In the current consumption patterns, global use of resources is likely to quadruple in 20 years. SCP has been on the international agenda since Agenda 21 (1992) identified unsustainable production and consumption patterns as the major cause for continued deterioration of the global environment. The JPOI adopted at the WSSD, Johannesburg (2002), adopted a ten-year framework of programmes in support of national and regional initiatives to accelerate the shift towards consumption and production patterns. UNEP launched the Marrakech process in 2003 and has since then convened three meetings. Rio+20 did nothing more than to agree to the adoption of a 10 FYP in the pursuance of process launched after the WSSD.

Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs): Initially proposed by Columbia, and supported by Guatemala, SDGs were seen as the most tangible outcome from the Summit.  While most of the countries seem to be agreeable to the concept of the SDGs, sharp differences existed on approach, content and implementation. The EU support for defining SDGs notwithstanding, the final document desisted from giving it a final shape and said “ SDGs should be action oriented, concise and easy to communicate, limited in number, aspirational, global in nature and universally applicable to all countries while taking into account different national realities, capacities and levels of development and respecting national policies and priorities…..”(Para 248).  It also committed to set up a thirty member working group in the 67th session of the UNGA and will submit a report to the 68thsession, containing a proposal for sustainable development goals for consideration and appropriate action. (Para 248)

Green Economy: Vaguely defined concept of green economy in the context of sustainable development and poverty eradication, one of the two themes of the Summit, was hotly contested, with many rich countries trying to push an action plan on green economy, and developing countries fearing a blanket green economy framework restricting their right to development. Unflinching stance of G77 and China, in demanding Green Economy as a tool won the day, with Green economy being referred to as “green economy policies”, or “policies for green economy”, rather than “a green economy.” The text mentions “we affirm that there are different approaches, visions, models, and tools available to each country, in accordance with its national circumstances and priorities, to achieve sustainable development in its three dimensions, which is our over arching goal. In this regard we consider green economy in the context of sustainable development and poverty eradication as one of important tools available for achieving sustainable development and that it could provide options for policymaking but should not be a rigid set of rules……”(Para 56). Removal of the vowel was widely celebrated in the Indian camp as victory on the last frontier.

Institutional framework for sustainable development (IFSD); Global environmental governance has been the weakest link in the sustainable development, and the Summit could have been a landmark event to strengthen it, make it more transparent and accountable, but it chose to do it in the weakest possible manner. From amongst the options proposed, consensus could be created on scaling up UNEP with universal membership and the finances. Aspirations of African group to make UNEP a specialized UN agency (which has greater clout) could not be realized and UNEP still remains an institution.The other proposal to form a Sustainable Development Council (SDC) on the lines of Human Rights Council, was transformed into setting up of a high level political forum, to take over from UNCSD. The General Assembly will define the format and organizational aspects of the HLF and will convene the first forum in 68th Session.

What Rio+20 failed to deliver

The zero draft was seen as a very weak and unambitious document from the beginning and there were several calls from developing countries to focus on root cause of unsustainable development namely, reform in global financial architecture and role of IFIs, technology transfer, reform in trade framework including making IPR restrictions flexible so that they can access and use green technologies, and strengthening the means of implementation to support their transition to a green and clean future. However, developed countries failed to raise the level of ambitions and provide additional finance or technology.

There is no money honey; The G77 and China had proposed setting up a sustainable development fund of 30 billion USD by 2013 to be scaled up to 100 billion USD by 2015. It was based on an old UNEP proposal made in 1992. However, developed countries completely refused to provide any new and additional finance saying that Rio+20 was a not a “pledging moment” and countries should “look forward rather than backwards.” They also suggested that most of the finances required will have to come through innovative finances, which literally means from market mechanisms and public private partnerships. South South cooperation and triangular cooperation are proposed to complement (read replace) north south cooperation.  A compromise between the warring blocks (North and south) was reached by a proposal to set up a 30 member expert committee to assess financial needs, which will complete its work by 2014. The Summit also urged the developed countries to ensure (Monterrey consensus) providing 0.7 % of the GNP to developing countries and 0.15-0.20% to the LDCs. The timing of the Summit when the Europe and the United states are fighting with continued economic recession too, did not augur well for the developing countries.

Summit trips on Technology transfer and IPR: Developed countries not only failed to provide much needed additional financial support, but also did a volte-face with regard to technology transfer. The developed countries are so much averse to the term technology transfer so that the title “technology transfer” was replaced by “technology,” and “technology transfer” was referred to as “technology transfer…… on favorable terms, including on concessional and preferential terms, as mutually agreed.” The references to IPR were altogether removed from the final text.

Key thematic areas; recognition of challenges but not rights: The outcome document also recognized 30 key thematic areas for further action and follow up such as poverty eradication, food security, nutrition and sustainable agriculture, water and sanitation, energy, sustainable tourism, sustainable transport, sustainable cities and human settlements, health and population, promoting full and productive employment, decent work for all and social protection, oceans and seas, small island developing states (SIDS), Least Developed Countries (LDCs), Land Locked Developing Countries (LLDCs), Africa, regional efforts, Disaster Risk Reduction, climate change, forests, biodiversity, desertification, land degradation and drought, mountains, chemicals and wastes, sustainable consumption and production, mining, education, and gender equality and empowerment of women. While they acknowledge the problems and challenges, and encourage action, there are no real commitments. While many alleged that the rights components have been further weakened in the final document, perhaps oceans and SIDS, received best possible treatment in terms of unambiguous language, bringing out clearly that business as usual is not the option.

Developing countries and Rio+20

The developing countries largely welcomed the document, even though they complained of lack of resources and technology for shift to green economy. Many of the developing countries wanted flexibility in defining green economy and SDGs, which has been left open enough for their own interpretations and definitions depending on their national circumstances, priorities and policies. This flexibility can be used well and also abused. The flexibility might allow the governments to get off the hook and get away with doing nothing new and continuing in business as usual approach. Many developing countries do have a track record of favoring the latter. BASIC countries too need to provide some real leadership and practice at home what they preach in big summits. Brazil has been under scanner as being the host of the summit. A world leader in clean energy with high hydropower production capacity and high ethanol production, Brazil set up a new climate regime in 2009 with voluntary national GHG reduction target between 36 to 39 percent. More recently, it has announced lowest deforestation rates, however, enhanced action is required as forest data predicts increased deforestation due to change in country’s forest code. South Africa has provided leadership to the African Union on climate change and sustainable development issues. However, the most remarkable outcome of the COP 17 hosted by the South Africa, was its fascination with “climate smart agriculture” under pressure from the World Bank, FAO, and industrial agriculture countries including the US, New Zealand, Canada and Australia. South Africa’s penchant for climate smart agriculture, which is a package of false solutions and agribusiness agenda, not only threatens food security and small, traditional and family farmers in the country but entire African continent undergoing second colonization through massive land grabs under the guise of responsible investment in agriculture in Africa. China and India have been perceived as blockers of Summits of late, have much to prove at home for their leadership in the developing world. China is an emerging giant in renewable energy, however, its investment in renewable energy is still dwarfed by its investment in dirty coal fire powered plants. Last but not the least in the league, India, even with three times increase in installed power capacity within the last three decades, it has failed to provide significant energy access to more than half of the population. Its continued dependence on coal, 10 proposed super critical ultra mega thermal power projects (4000 MW each approx), and fixation with nuclear energy continues to threaten millions of people with displacement, loss of livelihoods, forests and biodiversity. The lesson for them is to put their own house in order first.