November 19, 2013

Leave coal in the ground to avoid climate catastrophe, UN tells industry

Intensity of UN climate chief Christina Figueres's remarks take coal industry leaders and environment groups by surprise
La Cygne power plant, Kansas 19/1/12
The La Cygne coal-fired power plant in eastern Kansas. Photograph: Charlie Riedel/AP
Most of the world's coal reserves should be left in the ground to avoid catastrophic global warming, the UN's climate chief has told the $3tn global industry.
 
In a speech to a gathering of industry executives, Christina Figueres challenged the industry to urgently transform itself, diversify into renewable energy and "radically change … rapidly and dramatically for everyone's sake". "By now it should be abundantly clear that further capital expenditures on coal can go ahead only if they are compatible with the 2C limit", she said at the international coal and climate summit in Warsaw, being held at the same time as UN climate talks.

Figueres said they had "the opportunity to be part of the worldwide climate solution" by switching off old coal power plants, capturing and storing carbon from new plants and leaving most of the world's coal reserves in the ground. She also said coal power could help poorer countries' economic development and poverty reduction, but that the industry "must change".

"I urge every coal company to honestly assess the financial risks of business as usual; anticipate increasing regulation, growing finance restrictions and diminishing public acceptance," she said.
Figueres was later backed by the energy minister, Greg Barker, who is in Warsaw for the UN negotiations. "Coal represents the biggest threat to climate stability in the medium term. If we can keep coal in the ground it could have a profound impact on the growth of the world economy. The question is how do we keep unabated coal in the ground," he said.

But Barker backed gas over renewables. "Gas is the way to ensure we burn less coal over the next two decades," he said. At a later press conference, Figures said the industry needed a "deep, deep transformation" and should reinvent itself as a developer of renewable energy.

"They really need to do a major, major rethink and a major shift in the deployment of their capital [towards renewable energy] … there is no doubt they are the energies of the future," she said.
Her remarks took both the coal industry and environment groups by surprise. The industry had invited her to talk in expectation that she would legitimise their continuing growth if they adopted new technologies. The activists had been critical of her talking to the industry at all.

But it is thought Figueres was stung by insistent youth groups at the UN conference who reportedly admonished her for being prepared to talk to the coal industry but not to them. In a nod to their presence, she called on the industry to "see the next generation's bottom line".

The industry declined to respond directly but argued that significant emissions reductions could be achieved by improving the efficiency of coal-fired plants using "high efficiency" coal. But this was rebutted by a group of 27 international scientists meeting in Warsaw who agreed with Figueres, saying that nearly 75% of the world's coal reserves had to be left in the ground if global warming was to be limited to a 2C rise.

In a joint statement, the scientists – from the US, Germany, Japan, China, India, Brazil and South Africa – rebutted claims that high-efficiency coal can be a low-emissions technology. Using International Energy Agency estimates of world coal reserves, the group said that burning just 26% of the reserves would break the global "carbon budget", lifting temperatures above the 2C threshold which has been adopted as a goal for the UN climate talks.

"We are not saying there is no future for coal", said ProfessorPR Shukla of the Indian Institute of Management, "but that unabated coal combustion is not compatible with staying below the 2C limit."
Milton Catelin, chief executive of the World Coal Association, said: "We're not going to meet our climate objectives if we are not all part of the solution. Ms Figueres has shown she shares the WCA's view that multi-stakeholder dialogue is key to tackling climate change."

Martin Kaiser, Greenpeace's international climate director, welcomed the speech. "She gave the right warning to investors that any new investment into coal-fired power plants is a financial risk as there will be increasing regulation, growing finance restrictions and diminishing public acceptance."

November 18, 2013

Global Climate Risk Index 2013 Released at the UN climate Summit - And South Asia is high up on risks.

Global Climate Risk Index released:: Super Typhoon Haiyan draws attention to wide-spread extreme climate risks.
 
 
The devastation caused by the recent super typhoon Haiyan (Yolanda to the Philippines people) in the Philippines has drawn the world's attention with its massive loss of human lives and physical damage, and the fact that this happened just as the UN climate negotiations were beginning - have strongly brought home the message that unless the global comity of nations tackle climate changing emissions at the earliest and at the fastest pace, the world will see many such climate disasters.
The climatic disaster in the Indian (and part of Nepal) Himalayas, in the month of June, where also the official death figures crossed 5000 (the ground reports speaks about more than double that figure), in the mountain States of Uttarakhand and Himachal Pradesh, seem to be already fading out of public memory. Is this going to be the pattern -- the shock of a massive disaster raises our concerns, puts people in to action mode -- only for a brief while, after which the lull, the complacency returns !! Back to the Business As Usual pathways!
On the 2nd day of the UN climate Conference (COP19) here in Warsaw, this year's "Global Climate Risk Index" was officially released, and not so surprisingly - Haiti topped the list, because of the nearly 200,000 people who lost their homes during Hurricane Sandy, and the total devastation of the small nations economy and public infrastructure by that impact.
The list is prepared by GermanWatch, from different damage data, but largely supplied by insurance industry, and is thus - limited. The categorization is done based on losses of lives and property from climate events, from 1993 to 2012. Haiti was the worst affected, followed by Philippines and Pakistan.
It needs to be noted that all the top (!) ten countries - those that have suffered maximum damages from climate disasters from 1993 to 2012, are developing, often the poorest (in terms of per capita income) countries. And more alarmingly for those of us from the area known as "South Asia", almost all SA countries (except Sri Lanka and Maldives) are there in the ill-famous Top-Ten! And a reminder, this do not include the massive disasters in India in 2013 - either in the Himalayas or in Odisha & Andhra Pradesh coasts from the near-super cyclone Phailin.

Beyond Copenhagen Side Event (13th November, 2013, Room Cracow) and Stall

Panel at the Beyond Copenhagen side event "Climate Change in Post-2015 Development Agenda"

Panel at the Beyond Copenhagen side event "Climate Change in Post-2015 Development Agenda"

Beyond Copenhagen side event "Climate Change in Post-2015 Development Agenda"

Panel at the Beyond Copenhagen side event "Climate Change in Post-2015 Development Agenda", inaugurating the publication.

Beyond Copenhagen Delegation in front of their booth. 

November 14, 2013

Un-official introduction to the host country of COP-19 :: POLAND

Bankwatch Mail - November 11, 2013

Dear Participant to the 19th UN Climate Summit, welcome to Poland!
Let us introduce you to the country hosting the climate conference this year, and provide you with a short overview of the land and its people. This is indeed information you may not find in official Polish government brochures. However, we believe that the hospitality Poland is famous for requires that you have a clear picture of what the Polish Presidency of COP19 stands for.
 
Landscape
Poland is the second largest coal producer in Europe, after Germany. In 2012 Poland produced 158 million tons of coal, which typically accounts for around 20 percent of total coal production in Europe. Also in 2012, 83 percent of electricity produced in the country was derived from coal burning (pdf). According to recent energy mix scenarios prepared by the Chancellery of the Polish prime minister, Poland plans to continue to base its energy system on coal: even after 2050, it is currently envisaged that 60-80 percent of Polish electricity will be produced from coal.

 

Perspectives

Hard coal and lignite in currently tapped deposits are being gradually exhausted, so there are plans to prepare and realise the use of several new deposits by 2030 (pdf): the hard coal deposits of 'Bzie-Dꢩna', '歩㯷ice' and 'Brzezinka', and the lignite deposits of 'Legnica' and 'Gubin,' as well as the satellite deposits of operating mines. Poland's former chief geologist and former deputy minister of the environment has said that the Polish Energy Policy to 2030 will lock Poland into an economic model that dates from the beginning of the twentieth century. Of the EU-28, Poland is leading the way when it comes to the number of new hard coal and lignite power plants being planned. This is due to Poland’s largely outdated energy system, where two thirds of the installed generation capacity is more than 30 years old. In order to tackle this, at present 12 GW of new coal and lignite capacity is planned. According to Dr. Micha㠗ilczyᳫi, Poland's former chief geologist and former deputy minister of the environment, the new coal and nuclear power plants planned within the Polish Energy Policy to 2030 will, for at least the next 80 years, lock Poland into an economic model that dates from the beginning of the twentieth century.

 

International relations

Once you scratch below the rhetorical surface it emerges that Poland imports a significant share of the hard coal it uses. Large deposits of coal, it is claimed by Polish officialdom, are playing a major role in ensuring Poland’s energy security (pdf). However, on the contrary, once you scratch below the rhetorical surface it emerges that Poland imports a significant share of the hard coal it uses: in 2011, the country imported 15 million tons of hard coal, while 76.4 million tons was extracted in Polish mines. According to Dr. Wilczyᳫi, by 2030 the extraction volume of hard coal in Poland will be less than is imported. Growing imports result from the discrepancy between the price of Polish coal and coal prices on the international markets.

 

Prices

Polish prime minister Donald Tusk continues to insist that Poland will continue to base its energy system on coal, because lignite in particular is the cheapest source of electricity. However, of course, Tusk and his advisers – not to mention the vocal coal lobby in Poland – fail to take into account the hidden social and environmental costs racked up by producing power from lignite – huge costs being paid daily by Polish society. According to Professor Mariusz Kude, these so called external costs associated with lignite power plants, and specifically from the two planned open-pit mines Legnica and Gubin, would amount to PLN 10 billion annually. The calculation considers harm to human health, materials, farming, biodiversity and land use changes. Professor Kude has pointed out that health impacts constitute more than half of these costs (pdf).

Health care
Health specialists say that Polish coal fired power stations cause 1,000 hospital admissions and 800,000 lost working days per year, costing patients, the national health system and the economy at large nearly EUR 8 billion per year in lost productivity. This data is confirmed by a report from the Health and Environment Alliance published in June this year. The scientific evidence that air pollution causes disease is no longer in doubt, according to Dr Michal Krzyzanowski, an epidemiologist working until recently at the World Health Organisation. Krzyzanowski says: “Circulatory and respiratory diseases associated with exposure to air pollution lead to a reduction in life expectancy of 10 months in the Polish population. Coal combustion, both in the electric power plants and in individual households, is the single biggest source of this pollution in Poland.” (pdf)

 

Economics

And it is not as if Poland has no choice when it comes to energy sources. Dr. Maciej Bukowski, one of the authors of a recently published report 'Roadmap 2050: Low Emission Poland 2050' and president of the Institute for Structural Research, has said that the decisions that we need to take now will decide whether Poland maintains the rate at which it catches up with the leading economies in the world. Bukowski warns, however, that there exists the risk of a 'middle income trap' for Poland, similar to that observed in Spain, Portugal and Greece, after their periods of dynamic growth. He says: “We are doing too little to prevent this. We focus too much on the cost of reforms, and not enough on the potential benefits. A low-emission climate policy is no exception.”
 
Meanwhile, president of the Institute for Sustainable Development, Dr. Andrzej Kassenberg, believes that Poland should not hide behind others and not negotiate, but instead see a potential innovative, green economy as an opportunity, and not only for climate issues.

November 11, 2013

Beyond Copenhagen at COP19, Warsaw, Poland (11-22 November 2013)

1. Side Event at COP19

Dear Friends

We are pleased to invite all attending COP19 in Warsaw to an official side event organized and hosted by Beyond Copenhagen in collaboration with CECOEDECON, PAIRVI, SADED and BJVJ.


"Climate Change & Post 2015 Development Agenda; Implications on Agriculture and Livelihoods for Poor"

A new agreement on Climate change, Post MDGs development agenda and adoption of the Sustainable Development Goals converge in 2015. It has huge implications for development, agriculture and food, and livelihoods. The panel discussion will explore how climate change, agriculture and food, and energy are positioned in these debates.

Venue: Room Cracow, National Stadium, Warsaw
Date: Wednesday 13 November 2013
Time: 16:45 - 18:15

Light refreshments will be served after the side event. We look forward to seeing you at the event!!


Contact person:

Ajay Jha - k.ajay.j@gmail.com
Soumya Dutta - soumyadutta_delhi@rediffmail.com

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

2. PreCOP Consultation on
"Priorities and Expectations from COP 19"
5th November 2013, New Delhi - India

In the series of consultations that Beyond Copenhagen has been organizing to draw attention of policy makers and public actors on priority areas for policy and action on climate change, recently, a PreCOP Consultation on “Priorities and Expectations from COP 19” was organized in New Delhi on 5th November 2013. The event hosted Deputy Minister of Environment from Poland, Mrs. Beata Jaczewska, along with representatives from key actors including China, Mexico, Australia and Norway. The press release of the event is as follows:

“Warsaw will not rewrite the Convention” inclusiveness, transparency and fair process to be main pillars at Warsaw COP, says Polish Dy Env Minister at Delhi

Deputy Minister of Environment from Poland Mrs. Beata Jaczewska said that Conference of Parties at Warsaw will focus on inclusiveness, transparency and fairness of the process. Speaking at a civil society PreCOP Consultation in Delhi, she emphasized that Warsaw will make all efforts to have a clear road map till Paris. She added that Poland along with Peru and France is working on a “Troika approach,” which would ensure that a draft of agreement is ready before March 2015 so that a decision can be reached at Paris. Allaying civil society apprehensions she emphasized that Warsaw will not rewrite the Convention. She also underlined that “our focus is on adaptation, and climate finance, however we understand that all parts of negotiations mitigation, adaptation, and means of implementation are equally important and we will try to address all of these.”

The Conference of Parties (COP) taking place at Warsaw during 11th to 23rd November, the PreCOP Consultation was organized by Beyond Copenhagen in collaboration with MISEREOR and Oxfam India.  Representatives from key actors including the China, Australia, Norway, Mexico, also shared their expectations from the COP 19.

Earlier during the day, the Consultation witnessed a discussion among the civil society organizations on the expectations from the COP 19. Civil society demanded clear, categorical, and decisive action towards a just, appropriate and equity based framework for climate stabilization. Vanita Suneja from Oxfam India said that the current gap in climate finance is alarming and developing countries including India are rightly concerned about the lack of support they can expect over the coming years, in particular the provision of adequate public finance. Vijay Pratap from South Asian Dialogues on Ecological Democracy (SADED) said that climate science demands clear action and sufferings of the people brook no delay. Chandrabhushan from CSE said that mitigation ambitions will have to be enhanced on a significant scale to bring emissions from current 50 gigatonnes to 44 gigatonnes, which is essential to keep warming below 2 degrees Celsius by the end of the century. He also added that there are no proposals on how equity can be operationalized till now and therefore, it’s important that Warsaw COP comes up with a clear road map with specific targets and timelines.

Sanjay Vashishth from CANSA said that Warsaw must close the gigatone gap and clear commitments on climate finance. Manish Srivastava from TERI said that new market mechanisms must interact with non market based mechanisms to create an enabling conditions so that markets could achieved their envisioned role in mitigation. He also added that the biggest challenge before Warsaw is to restore faith in international negotiations which has been eroding fast due to lack of progress. Soumya Dutta from Beyond Copenhagen said that despite finance being a hot issue for several previous meetings, we do not have desired numbers on the table till now, COP must address this without losing any time. Sharad Joshi from CECOEDECON said that to succeed at Warsaw we must succeed in building blocks at Warsaw and Lima. Ajay Jha from PAIRVI said that the recent IPCC report, WMO report and report of the UNEP brings unequivocal evidences of impact of climate change and wartime efforts are required to meet the demands of the science and address all the critical areas of mitigation, adaptation, and means of implementation. Over 100 representatives from CSOs, media and embassies and high commissions in Delhi attended the Consultation.

Coordinator, Beyond Copenhagen